Advancing sustainable growth in the United States and China

Arthur Kroeber Talks China’s Economy at Paulson Institute


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Arthur Kroeber speaks about the future of China’s economy at the Paulson Institute’s Contemporary China Speakers Series at the University of Chicago.

In the last three decades China has surged from impoverished backwater to become the world’s second-biggest economy and largest trading nation. Yet as the recent tumult on global markets shows, China risks destabilizing the world as it makes the hard shift from an investment-driven to a consumer-oriented economy. The headwinds of a rapidly aging population, a battle against rampant corruption and an enormous national debt are also slowing the country’s growth. Will China mature into a global economic leader, trigger a crisis, or stagnate like Japan? Arthur Kroeber, one of the world’s leading commentators on the Chinese economy, tackles these tough questions.

Arthur R. Kroeber is head of research at Gavekal, a financial-services firm based in Hong Kong, founder of the China-focused Gavekal Dragonomics research service, and editor of China Economic Quarterly. He divides his time between Beijing and New York. Before founding Dragonomics in 2002, he spent fifteen years as a financial and economic journalist in China and South Asia. He is a senior non-resident fellow of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center, an adjunct professor at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, and a member of the National Committee on US-China Relations. His book China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know was published by Oxford University Press in April 2016.